Future Scenarios Industry
| Course ID : | INN589 |
| Course Duration : | 3 Days |
| City : | Abu Dhabi |
| Location : | UAE |
**1. General Objectives**
By the end of this program, participants will be able to:
1. Understand the concept of futures studies and the role of scenarios in decision-making.
2. Analyze future trends and identify key external environmental factors.
3. Design multiple future scenarios using internationally recognized methodologies.
4. Utilize foresight tools such as PESTEL, SWOT, and Cross-Impact Analysis.
5. Evaluate scenarios and select the most probable and impactful ones.
6. Transform scenarios into actionable plans and strategies.
7. Enhance proactive thinking and adaptability to future changes.
**2. Main Course Modules**
**Module 1: Introduction to Futures Studies & Scenario Planning**
* Key concepts of futures thinking.
* Importance of scenario planning in strategic decision-making.
* Historical development of scenario methodologies.
**Module 2: Future Environmental Analysis**
* Understanding megatrends and future drivers.
* External environment analysis tools:
* PESTEL
* SWOT
* STEEP
* Forecasting future changes.
**Module 3: Scenario Building Methodologies**
* Scientific steps for scenario development.
* Identifying drivers of change.
* Determining critical uncertainties.
* Using the 2×2 Matrix approach to build multiple scenarios.
**Module 4: Developing Future Scenarios**
* Building realistic, optimistic, and conservative scenarios.
* Assessing the impact of scenarios on institutions and sectors.
* Visualizing future outlooks based on selected scenarios.
**Module 5: Scenario Evaluation & Strategy Formulation**
* Criteria for evaluating scenarios.
* Translating scenarios into strategies and policies.
* Managing future risks and opportunities.
**Module 6: Practical Tools & Technologies in Scenario Planning**
* Using Futures Wheel for implications analysis.
* Cross-Impact Analysis tools.
* Using AI tools to support scenario creation and analysis.
**3. Detailed Course Content**
* Practical workshop: Trend analysis for 2030–2050.
* Exercise: Building a 2×2 scenario matrix.
* Developing future scenarios for a selected sector (government, education, health, technology, energy).
* Reviewing global scenario models (Shell, OECD, WEF).
* Final project: Participants develop and present a complete future scenario.