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Future Scenarios Industry

Future Scenarios Industry

Course ID : INN589
Course Duration : 3 Days
City : Abu Dhabi
Location : UAE
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 1. General Objectives 

By the end of this program, participants will be able to:

1. Understand the concept of futures studies and the role of scenarios in decision-making.
2. Analyze future trends and identify key external environmental factors.
3. Design multiple future scenarios using internationally recognized methodologies.
4. Utilize foresight tools such as PESTEL, SWOT, and Cross-Impact Analysis.
5. Evaluate scenarios and select the most probable and impactful ones.
6. Transform scenarios into actionable plans and strategies.
7. Enhance proactive thinking and adaptability to future changes.

 

  2. Main Course Modules 

  Module 1: Introduction to Futures Studies & Scenario Planning

  •  Key concepts of futures thinking.
  •  Importance of scenario planning in strategic decision-making.
  •  Historical development of scenario methodologies.

Module 2: Future Environmental Analysis

  •  Understanding megatrends and future drivers.
  • External environment analysis tools:
  1. PESTEL
  2. SWOT
  3. STEEP
  4. Forecasting future changes.

Module 3: Scenario Building Methodologies

  • Scientific steps for scenario development.
  • Identifying drivers of change.
  • Determining critical uncertainties.
  • Using the 2×2 Matrix approach to build multiple scenarios.

Module 4: Developing Future Scenarios

  • Building realistic, optimistic, and conservative scenarios.
  • Assessing the impact of scenarios on institutions and sectors.
  • Visualizing future outlooks based on selected scenarios.

Module 5: Scenario Evaluation & Strategy Formulation

  •  Criteria for evaluating scenarios.
  • Translating scenarios into strategies and policies.
  •  Managing future risks and opportunities.

Module 6: Practical Tools & Technologies in Scenario Planning

  • Using Futures Wheel for implications analysis.
  • Cross-Impact Analysis tools.
  • Using AI tools to support scenario creation and analysis.

3. Detailed Course Content

  • Practical workshop: Trend analysis for 2030–2050.
  • Exercise: Building a 2×2 scenario matrix.
  • Developing future scenarios for a selected sector (government, education, health, technology, energy).
  • Reviewing global scenario models (Shell, OECD, WEF).
  • Final project: Participants develop and present a complete future scenario.